*** DEBUG START ***
*** DEBUG END ***

Paul Vallely: An argument at cross purposes

by
12 April 2019

Leavers and Remainers are concerned about different things, says Paul Vallely

PA

Theresa May at the European Council this week

Theresa May at the European Council this week

IN THE book After Virtue, the moral philosopher Alasdair MacIntyre examines the way in which we debate issues such as just war, abortion, or equal opportunities. Those arguing from opposing sides, he suggests, can never agree, because they begin from different premises. On war, one side prioritises justice, the other, survival. On abortion, one side begins with rights, the other with universality. On opportunity, one side gives primacy to equality, the other to liberty. A dialogue of the deaf is therefore inevitable.

The Brexit debate has become like that. Remainers focus mainly on the economy. They cite government and OECD predictions that Brexit will reduce GDP between six and nine per cent over the next 15 years, and may plunge us into recession. No deal would be bad for the European Union, which does ten per cent of its trade with us; but it would be catastrophic for the UK, which does 49 per cent of its trade with the EU. Every new development only deepens the gloom.

The result has made a few Leavers, like the prominent Tory Eurosceptic Peter Oborne this week, change their minds. But most remain fixed. They either reject the detailed analysis — with little more than bold assertions — or change the subject. Leavers seem little concerned with economics: for them, Brexit is about cultural issues such as sovereignty, immigration, and identity. We must take back control, even if we end up poorer.

This enables Leavers to ignore the fact that they were peddled a lot of untruths in the referendum campaign. Michael Gove told them that we would “hold all the cards” in the negotiations. David Davis insisted that he would be able to negotiate “the exact same benefits” as staying in the single market. The Germans would be more concerned with preserving frictionless trade to sell us their BMWs than with maintaining the integrity of the EU. None of this was true, but that seems less important to Leavers than their indignation over Parliament’s insistence on scrutinising the detail rather than swiftly endorsing no deal or a bad deal.

Analysis of the latest polling, by academics such as Matthew Goodwin, Tom Simpson, and the former Labour minister John Denham, suggests that the social and cultural factors are increasingly overwhelming economic ones in the public perception of Brexit. Public perceptions are, of course, not always accurate. (On immigration, the British public think that 30 per cent of the population were born foreigners, whereas the actual statistic is only 13 per cent.) But it is not so much the accuracy of the facts which is revealing here, as the subjects on which the two sides focus.

This may herald a significant realignment in British politics. The traditional Left-Right/Labour-Tory division seems to be being replaced by a Leave-Remain/cosmopolitan-provincial rift, in which economics takes a back seat to identity. This divide may turn out to be more be deep-rooted than the old disagreements about taxation and public spending.

If so, that only underlines how foolish Theresa May was, three years ago, to embark on a Brexit strategy that delivered for the 17 million and alienated the 16 million. If identity is the issue rather than economics, what was needed was a healing approach to bring together a divided nation. That division feels deeper now than ever.

Browse Church and Charity jobs on the Church Times jobsite

Letters to the editor

Letters for publication should be sent to letters@churchtimes.co.uk.

Letters should be exclusive to the Church Times, and include a full postal address. Your name and address will appear below your letter unless requested otherwise.

Forthcoming Events

English Mystics Series course

26 January - 25 May 2026

A short course at Sarum College.

tickets available now

 

Springtime for the Church of England: where are we seeing growth?

31 January 2026

Join us at St John's Church, Waterloo to hear a group of experts speak about the Quiet Revival.

tickets available now

 

With All Your Heart: a retreat in preparation for Lent

14 February 2026

Church Times/Canterbury Press online retreat.

tickets available now

 

Merlin’s Isle: A Journey in Words and Music with Malcolm Guite and the St Martin's Voices

17 February 2026

Canterbury Press event at Temple Church, London. The Poet and Priest draws out the Christian bedrock at the heart of the Arthurian stories, revealing their spiritual depth and enduring resonance.

tickets available now

 

Visit our Events page for upcoming and past events

The Church Times Archive

Read reports from issues stretching back to 1863, search for your parish or see if any of the clergy you know get a mention.

FREE for Church Times subscribers.

Explore the archive

Welcome to the Church Times

To explore the Church Times website fully, please sign in or subscribe.

Non-subscribers can read up to four free articles a month. (You will need to register.)