THE world's poorest
people are suffering more from climate change than had been
previously thought, the latest findings published in a report for
the World Bank suggest.
Crops are being affected,
and sea levels are rising more rapidly in the worst-affected parts
of sub-Saharan Africa and South and South-East Asia, even with the
current rise in temperatures of 0.8°C. A rise of 50 cm in sea
levels is predicted by 2050.
The World Bank's latest
report on climate change, Turn Down the Heat: Why a 4°C world
must be avoided, argues that if the world warms by only 2°C -
as is likely to happen in the next 20-30 years - the effects on
poorer countries will be devastating.
Its previous report, by
scientists from Climate Analytics and the Potsdam Institute for
Climate Impact Research concluded last year that the world will
warm by 4°C if action was not taken immediately.
But the same scientists
have now found that even a two-degree rise "will cause widespread
food shortages, unprecedented heat-waves, and more intense
cyclones. . . In the near term, climate change, which is already
unfolding, could batter the slums even more, and greatly harm the
lives and the hopes of individuals and families who have had little
hand in raising the earth's temperature.
"Today, our world is
0.8°C above pre-industrial levels of the 18th century. We could see
a 2°C-world in the space of one generation," the report said.
The President of the
World Bank, Dr Jim Yong Kim, said: "The result is a dramatic
picture of a world of climate- and weather-extremes causing
devastation and human suffering. In many cases, multiple threats of
increasing extreme heatwaves, sea-level rise, more severe storms,
droughts, and floods will have severe negative implications for the
poorest and most vulnerable."
As climate change forced
people into urban areas, there could be an apocalyptic scenario of
"higher numbers of people in informal settlements being exposed to
heatwaves, flooding, and diseases", he warned.
Christian Aid has called
on governments to act quickly over the report's warning. A senior
climate-change adviser for the charity, Dr Alison Doig, said: "This
report shows that the current global target of staying below 2°C -
previously thought to be a relatively safe level - will, in
reality, have a massive impact on people in developing
countries.
"Impacts such as extreme
heat events, water scarcity and drought, rising sea-levels, and
increased hurricane intensity are already being seen more
frequently by people in developing countries.
"The report shows how a
two-degree global temperature rise will massively increase these
threats, while a four-degree rise, which is the current trajectory
if significantly more action is not taken to curb emissions, would
be devastating and unstoppable. This report gives a stark warning
to global leaders to raise their ambition and act to stop climate
change as an urgent priority. Efforts so far have been pitiful. The
time to act is now.''
But she also attacked the
World Bank over its investment in coal-fired power stations. "The
World Bank should learn lessons, and lead the world's financial
institutes by divesting in fossil fuels, and leading the move to a
low-carbon transformation of global energy. At present, it invests
billions of dollars every year in coal, oil, and gas," she
said.